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Projective Fuel Oil & Feedstock Flows

Forward-looking cargo intelligence for fuel oil and feedstocks, built from validated market intelligence.

15–30%

Additional informational edge reported by clients

~60 days

Forward discharge visibility

~94%

Counterparty / trader coverage

Trusted by the world's leading Oil Majors, Trading Houses, National Oil Companies and Financial Institutions

TotalEnergies

Chevron

Shell

BP

Glencore

Mercuria

Gunvor

Aramco

ADNOC

SK Energy

Petrobras

Pertamina

INEOS

Repsol

Citi

Macquarie

Why this matters

Most market datasets are reflective rather than projective. They tell you what has already happened, or what is happening now. This intelligence is different: it projects physical cargo movements, inventories and trader behaviour weeks before barrels arrive, giving forward visibility into the supply dynamics that shape regional balances and pricing.

Physical traders use it to read competitor activity, inventory builds and arbitrage opportunities before they become visible to the wider market.

Quantitative researchers, paper traders and financial institutions use the same intelligence to understand the physical drivers behind futures pricing, spreads, cracks, time structures and regional dislocations.

It provides forward visibility of actual cargo movements, inventories and trader behaviour up to around 60 days ahead, a forward-looking layer that complements conventional vessel tracking and market data rather than replacing it.

Built for

Commodity traders

Hedge funds

Research and analytics teams

Market intelligence functions

~98% of tracked flows are projective, with up to ~60 days forward visibility

~94% counterparty / trader coverage

Captures sanctioned, dark fleet, ship-to-ship and re-documented flows

Weekly structured delivery with continuous updates through the cargo lifecycle

INDEPENDENT RESEARCH

From physical intelligence to pricing signals

Maritime Data has independently reviewed the framework behind this research, the Physical Fuel Oil Inventory Pressure Research Framework, and verified a random sample of the results. It explores multiple approaches for turning projected physical inventory intelligence into quantitative pricing signals, and shows how forward-looking physical intelligence can support discretionary trading, systematic research and quantitative model development.

A methodological review, not an endorsement of the findings, which remain the work of the source data provider.

−0.6155

Strongest rank correlation

~2 weeks

Forward signal horizon

22,572

Configurations tested

COVERAGE

Products covered

HSFO

LSFO / VLSFO / ULSFO

SRFO / A.RES / LSSR

VGO

Heavy Sweet Crude

CBFS

DCO

MCB / Slurry

LSWR

LCO

GEOGRAPHIC FOCUS

Key arrival regions

Singapore

North Asia

Arabian Gulf

Red Sea

Northwest Europe (ARA)

US Gulf

Format / Source

Date Range

S3 Bucket

HTML Report

Singapore

Jan 2017 - Present

Jan 2022

Jan 2017

North Asia

Jan 2017 - Present

Jan 2022

Jan 2017

Arabian Gulf

Aug 2021 - Present

Jan 2022

Aug 2021

Red Sea

Aug 2021 - Present

Jan 2022

Aug 2021

USA

July 2022 - Present

July 2022

July 2022

NW Europe

Jan 2025 - Present

Jan 2025

Jan 2025

HISOTRICAL COVERAGE

Coverage by format, date range and region

Update frequency: Weekly

SIGNAL COMPLETENESS

Complete on first report

Share of stems delivered with complete, actionable data points on initial reporting — across the fields that drive a trade.

Load Location and Date

100% complete

Product Type

100% complete

Discharge Location

100% complete

Trader

94% complete

COMPARABLE SYSTEM ANALYSIS

Full comparison study

The complete benchmark — initial-signal completeness and product classification accuracy — is available to registered users.

Study conducted independently by our source data partner.

COMPARABLE SYSTEM ANALYSIS

More complete initial signals

51% of stems tracked by a leading AIS-based provider lacked complete, actionable data points upon initial reporting.

Load Location and Date

Our Data 100%Provider 89%

Product Type

Our Data 100%Provider 84%

Discharge Location

Our Data 100%Provider 63%

Trader

Our Data 94%Provider 21%

Misclassifications

76% of the disputed volume was incorrectly classified as standard crude oil by the AIS-based provider, obscuring true fuel oil and feedstock balances.

Same

High Sulphur Fuel Oil

Crude

Low Sulphur Fuel Oil

No Product

Blending Crude

Condensates

Cycle Oils

18.1%

22.3%

59.6%

LSFO

17.2%

6%

24.1%

52.7%

HSFO

82.2%

8.7%

9.1%

SRFO

HSWEET

100%

30.3%

24.5%

30.3%

9.7%

VGO

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FEEDBACK

What users say

"Back-testing of data resulted in a 30% increase in results output from our global analytics database."

QUANT ANALYST, OIL MAJOR

"You even get all the Russian trades right and that is our system. There is no competition in your space; what you do is totally different."

HEAD FUEL AND FEEDS ANALYST, NATIONAL OIL COMPANY

"We tried to do what you do, and could not achieve it internally."

GLOBAL HEAD OF ANALYTICS AND INNOVATION, GULF-BASED NATIONAL OIL COMPANY

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